MPA trial results provided to ACCC
Magazine Publishers Australia on Thursday provided a copy of the interim report by Boston Analytics into the trials undertaken recently into the supply of magazines to several groups of newsagents. Here is part of the public statement from the MPA:
The pilot delivered on expectations with substantial increases in efficiency i.e. decreased rate of return (-17% in Pilot A and B vs. +2% in Pilot A and +1% in Pilot B historical and -2% in control groups). Based on the modelling work done by Boston Analytics, sales were expected to decline at an 8% given the amount of supply that was cut from the long tail. But the declines were higher than that with Pilot A and B delivering -9% and -11% declines in sales respectively. Excluding an outlier store that increased its sub agents, Pilot A delivered -12% which is quite similar to Pilot B.
The value of the trials changed with the closure of Network Services. The single distributor model – yes, I am not including IPS as their roster of titles is very small – is of itself leading to changes we are seeing and changes on the way.
I think the best time to assess where we are at with magazine distribution will be sometime after June this year. By then Gotch will be well settled with its expanded mix of titles and will have had time to talk with publishers, especially those publishers that provide considerably more inventory than ever sells for its is these publishers that drive the most significant and expensive over-supply.
I have been aware of the pilot results for several weeks and while they are interesting, I am more interested in a study that actively includes all publishers and not just the top three.























