I am against supermarkets and any business associated with supermarkets. getting access to the sale of lottery products.
It’s important I start with that statement as what I say in this blog post will cause some to say that is not my position.
The Daily Telegraph story published yesterday – Survival is a lottery for our newsagents as ticket sales opened up to the big players – has fired newsagents up.
While I say kudos to NANA for getting excellent coverage for the story, I note that the story is not new and that the story as it has been told is not the complete story.
The 2015 sunset for current lottery arrangements in NSW has always been there. The Tatts requirement for shop first has always been there. The Coles Express trial was reported here in October last year to move beyond trial. Smart politicians will challenge newsagent representatives with: nothing new here, why have you not planned knowing there was a sunset? Newsagent representatives ought to have a believable response.
The report is The Daily Telegraph missed what I think is the biggest challenge facing lottery agents, the growth in online sales. This is something I have written about previously. Today, online sales are estimated to account for 10% of Tatts’ revenue.
The migration of the purchase of lottery products from over the counter to online will grow. It is disruption to the over the counter model not unlike the disruption being experienced by newspaper magazine publishers and newsagents in relation print media except that Tatts retains its income. Indeed, it makes more out of online purchases than over the counter purchases. Publishers are not in this position.
So, add online growth to the challenge of a far more competitive market and the infrastructure cost of doing business and it is natural newsagents are concerned. But none of this is new.
Any newsagent in NSW saying they will have to rethink their business plans should the current protection be removed is confronting this issue too late. The time to adjust your plans and your reliance on lottery products for traffic and income was in 2010, when the five-year protection arrangements were put in place. Harsh as it is, it’s the truth.
NANA is doing what any association should do, raising awareness of the issue and calling newsagents to act to maintain the status quo. To achieve that, however, NANA will need to get the State Government to decide for small busies and against Tatts and their own state interests. Successive NSW state governments have put their interests and those of big businesses ahead of the public and small businesses. Look at bus tickets and the cuts to newsagent commission. Many representations by newsagent representatives failed to protect this important stream of revenue for our channel.
Despite all their lip service during election campaigns, we have not has a state or federal government seriously committed to small business for decades.
For NANA to have any hope it needs every newsagent involved, committing time, money and gathering signatures on the petition. I am as skeptical that newsagents will support such a campaign as I am that the State Government will act and protect small business newsagents.
I’d love to be proven wrong. So, that’s my challenge to newsagents: prove me wrong. Put your time and your money where your mouth is on this issue.
However … plan for a business without lottery products because even if a campaign is successful, the success will have a sunset. Plus, online sales will grow and some of your customers will migrate. Good business planning is all about planning for every contingency. The report in The Daily Telegraph today is about a battle. The war is what’s happening online.
The risk to your business if Tatts products do go to supermarkets is a risk for you to own. It’s something you could have insulated your business from between 2010 and now. No matter, you know now – it is time to act.
At the core of your consideration here is the type of newsagency you want to have. I think this comes down to a choice between: being a convenience business or being a destination business. That is a conversation for another day.
One reason I write at this blog is to provoke newsagents to engage more actively in their businesses. Hopefully, this post does just that.