A blog on issues affecting Australia's newsagents, media and small business generally. More ...

The planagram kills magazine sales

It’s been two years since a certain group of petrol outlets came under the control of a planagram for magazines. I am told that magazine sales In one of the outlets are down more than $50,000 year on year. This is due to lack of range and some special interest weak titles from one publisher taking space which used to be occupied stronger titles in the same category from another publisher.

The newsagent who used to service the outlet has lost more than $80,000 a year in cash flow. Had the old arrangement been kept, based on the numbers I have seen, all publishers would have sold more than the planagrams deal done at the Head Office.

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magazines

Deadline With Destiny: Newspaper Industry Faces $20 Billion Gap

Ken Doctor of research and advisory firm Outsell has written a research paper, Deadline With Destiny: Newspaper Industry Faces $20 Billion Gap, which analyses the challenges newspaper publishers face thanks to the impact of online and sharp declines in sales due to generational change. Check out the description:

In this HotTopics, Outsell predicts that the newspaper industry faces a $20 billion revenue shortfall over the next five years due to print circulation decline, pressures on print advertising and pricing, and rapid growth of lower-revenue-producing online news media. Outsell believes the industry has less than five years to remake its future.

Across at his Chew Shop blog, newspaper executive Brad Robertson provides a deeper insight into Doctor’s paper:

The biggest change agent for newspapers, of course, is the march of online services. As print declines, online has assumed its position as the fastest growing business in newspaper portfolios, with annual growth rates typically more than 30 percent.

and…

Going forward, as online becomes more dominant, the challenge is for newspapers to use online to make up for their inevitable print losses. That’s easier said than done.

Robertson’s blog is a must read for newsagents and anyone who makes a living off newspapers. I’d suggest the report is worth reading as well but I’m not paying the US$495.00 to read what I know – that newspaper sales will be flat at best for the next three years before they start to seriously fall. Okay, it may take a little longer in Australia because of our useless broadband/wireless coverage we have but it will happen. Newsagents and others need to take this into account in their business planning today.

This report from Ken Doctor is another weather forecast. There is a storm coming. It’s big. It will hit. There is time to be ready, time to lock in customer traffic with other products and even by embracing. This is one reason we are launching our Find It online classified business and why we are partnering with newsagents as our shop front.

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Media disruption

AWW road block success

Our sales for Australian Women’s Weekly yesterday were more than 50% up on our usual first day of sale. We’d like to think it’s because of our road black strategy. See my previous post.

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Our Australian Women’s Weekly road block strategy

aww-blog3.JPGA check of this month’s AWW shows an improvement over recent issues. It’s reminiscent of content dept from the past. We decided to really push the issue with a table-top display right next to (almost blocking but don’tt tell Tattersalls) the lottery counter. While the display is not as pretty as the pros might like, I bet this works a treat. Early customer feedback suggests that our locally printed A3 draws them in more than the glossy poster since newsagencies always have such posters for magazines.

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magazines

Not another renovation magazine!

Yesterday’s Australian Financial Review ran a story about Sensis’ launch of HomeAtYellow, a website covering all things relating to home renovation. Neil Shoebridge’s article said that Sensis was considering producing a magazine covering the same area. Please no! The last thing Australia needs is another magazine aimed at renovators. The market is well covered by titles specifically aimed at this market and other titles which cross-over into this area.

The AFR article said the magazine would be 164 pages and have a cover price of $8.95. On these numbers and based on an average scale out of five copies – anything less would be useless – the title would be loss making for newsagents. We would make $2.24 per issue sold. However, the size of the magazine would mean that I have to commit two pockets for display. This and the labour involved mean the title would have operational costs of over $6.00 per month. So, we would need to sell three copies to be profitable.

Newsagents provide a low cost distribution channel for magazines, especially new magazines which seek to trade off our exceptional traffic in search of a market. I’d be happ to support new titles but for a premium. For example, if HomeAtYellow does launch as a magazine, newsagents ought to receive 75% of the cover price for the first three issues and 50% for the next nine. This would provide the incentive necessary for our investment in real-estate and labour.

The current commission structure for newsagents provides magazine publisher access to our real-estate, in many cases, on a below costs basis.

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magazines

We are runner-up ACP Magazines’ Newsagent of the Year

excellence award - small.jpgHow proud are we! Our newsagency, newsXpress Forest Hill, was second place in the ACP Magazines Newsagent of the Year Awards last week. We received the award at a dinner for Australia’s top newsagents at the Twin Waters Resort in Queensland. First Place went to Yarrawonga Newsagency in Victoria. Third place wan won by newsXpress Gympie. Williams’ Newsagency and Griffith Newsagency filled out the elite group of five finalists for these national awards.

We were thrilled with our second place, having never won anything for our newsagency business previously. In our decaying shopping centre we reckon we’re doing well with our 22% lottery sales growth, 25% magazine sales growth and 10% newspaper growth. The ACP magazines award is well deserved acknowledgement for our team.

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Newsagents their own worst enemy

At the annual newsagent trade show in NSW, the state and national associations, which signed a Memorandum of Understanding to jointly represent newsagents a couple of months ago, had separate stands. If the associations cannot unite at something as simple as a trade show, what hope is there for unity at a deeper level? It is no wonder that less than 20% of all newsagents are represented by an industry association. Egos are the barrier between real unity breaking out across the newsagency channel, as it has been for many years.

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Newsagency challenges

Newsagents dudded by News Ltd

Having used newsagents to create one of the most successful magazine launches in Australian, News Ltd has done a deal with iSubscribe to make its Alpha sports magazine available by subscription. Newsagents have done the hard yards for News – giving up valuable in store promotional space, talking up the magazine across the counter, co-locating the magazine at the newspaper stand and in the sports section. Newsagents have also enforced the now ridiculous rule forcing people to purchase a News Ltd newspaper with each copy of Alpha sold. The iSubscribe offer has no such requirement.

While newsagents will fulfill delivery subscriptions sold through iSubscribe, opening this alternative sales route will dilute the newsagent offering for Alpha.

As a newsagent who has energetically supported Alpha and vigilantly adhered to the stringent rules laid down by News Ltd, I am offended at their disregard for my efforts and their desire to cut me out of profit now that I have helped make Alpha a success.

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Newsagency challenges

Mucking up the masthead

age-blog2.JPGMore customer anger yesterday at yet another stuck on ad on the front of The Sunday Age. Customers are confused and frustrated with the intrusion. Most of the ads are either left at newsagency counters, thrown on the street or, occasionally, binned. I wonder when advertisers will get that message that this advertising frustrates and even angers consumers. I also wonder how the editorial team feels seeing advertisements stuck on top of the masthead. It’s like the publisher has sold their soul to the devil.

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Newspapers

ANZ Bank supports newsagents

I have been at the GNS Newsagent Trade Show in Sydney this weekend and got to meet the team from the ANZ Bank. It’s not often you see a major bank so openly supporting of an independent retail channel. The ANZ team has done considerable homework on newsagencies nationally and are happy to provide funding for newsagency purchase and expansion. Well done ANZ for supporting the small business channel.

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Newsagency challenges

The role of industry associations

I was surprised to learn that an industry association considered the purchase of a software company supplying newsagents. Newsagents associations have enough challenges on their plate providing association services such as government and supplier representation to use all their time and resources. They have no role owning and operating commercial services which are well covered by independent companies already. Sure I am conflicted in this discussion – I have owned Tower Systems, the largest software company servicing newsagents, for 25 years. Just because a software company may be struggling and their possible demise might mean newsagents have an orphan computer system, there is no reason to bail them out. Such would be offensive to the newsagents using other systems.

The software companies supplying newsagents are bets left to compete on an even footing and on pure commercial terms. To intervene and proving a struggling and, in my view, technically weak player an insider advantage could see newsagents go for fourth best and ignore the leaders.

While I am glad that the suggestion will not be acted upon, once can never be sure the no is a long term no. That the idea was given any oxygen at all is most disturbing.

Disclosure: I am a member of two newsagent industry associations, owner of newsXpress Forest Hill and owner of Tower Systems – the biggest supplier of software to Australian newsagents.

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Newsagency challenges

Nestle online consumer magazine

plenty.gifNestle has launched Plenty, an online magazine promoting their products through recipes and related articles. This issue has 25 pages and by any measure is quite substantial.

Plenty is well worth a look.

I would be interested to see readership data for this compared to traditional print advertising by the company. Of course, being an online publication and out of their own company, Nestle will have access to more timely and better data than through a more traditional media outlet.

As for the technology behind the online magazine – very nice. Easy to navigate and read. Check it out if you want to see how online magazine technology is evolving.

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Media disruption

The future of newsagencies

I have spent two days in Queensland at the ACP Magazines Connections conference with 200+ other newsagents and it struck me how wide the gulf is between proactive newsagents building businesses by being entrepreneurial versus those who are process workers, expecting others to develop their business strategy and give them a future.

Deregulation in 1999 has meant that newsagents must see their own future and pursue it, individually and collectively.

The Connections Conference draws together more of the entrepreneurs and for that alone you leave feeling energised and renewed in faith in the newsagency channel.

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Newsagency challenges

Whose business is it anyway?

A newsagent selling their home delivery business is required to provide a publisher with intricate details of the transaction including the amount the business is to be sold for before the publisher will approve the change of ownership. I can understand the publisher wanting to ensure that an appropriately skilled operator buys the business but to ask for confidential financial data? – it’s offensive they ask.

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Newsagency challenges

Less is more

A colleague newsagent is refitting his shop and has temporarily relocated to the mall outside his major centre location. He has only 30% of the cigarette range and is achieving more sales and only 15% of his usual magazine range and achieving 80% of his usual sales.

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Newsagency challenges

Buy your next ink from a newsagent

ink-blog.JPGTake a look at this ink display. It’s as good as you will find in any major retailer yet this photo is from a newsagency. More and more newsagents are carrying ink and toner and offering competitive prices.

In a break from the traditional entry here, my pitch to you is that next time you need ink for your printer at home or the office check your local newsagent. There’s a good chance they will offer what you want at a competitive price. You’re certainly like to get better service than at Australia Post, Officeworks or any of the other outlets you would think of ahead of newsagents.

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Newsagency challenges

How do you find $15,000 in ten days?

Which magazine distributor was busy calling newsagents yesterday, three working days after their August statement arrived, reminding them that the bill had to be settled on the 20th of the month? For most newsagents the first they know about the amount owing is the arrival of the statement. In some cases, the amount owing is more than the value of magazines sold in the shop from that distributor in the last month. It is this cash-flow negative scenario which is causing some newsagents to bail out of the industry. You can only overload the channel with average to poor product, tighten payment requirements and push your best product to competitors so much.

Many newsagents are at breaking point. The current Federal Government “looked after newsagents” through deregulation in 1999. The ACCC oversaw this process. All stakeholders ought to reconvene and assess then impact of their efforts. Either that or read about more closures and bankruptcies. The same federal Government has presided over a reinvention of Australian Post with their 865 corporate stores taking millions of dollars in business from newsagents.

Many newsagents are thriving and new stores are opening. My concern is for those in areas of tougher competition and where magazine distributors have not adjusted supply of titles outside the top 200 to reflect falling traffic. Such is the impact of deregulation.

A better call from the distributor yesterday would have been a discussion about how they could scale out more equitably so the newsagent has a chance to become cash-flow positive from their supply. Such an arrangement would include payment for labour and real-estate for titles with a sell through rate of 50% or less or a shelf life beyond 30 days.

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Newsagency challenges

A two finger salute from the PM?

fr-blog.JPGDid the Prime Minister know that the photo being taken would be partially obscured by the IG Markets ad on the front pages to today’s Australian Financial Review? Maybe his two finger salute suggests he had an inkling.

Customers hate these stuck on ads. The ones not ripped off and left at the counter usually end up as street litter.

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Newspapers

Volatile magazine sales

decay-blog.JPGThe black line is sales for one of the women’s weeklies we sell for this week to last night and the red line is the average of the last four weeks. The graph comes directly from our point of sale system. I already know that this week will be a sell out for several titles. Woman’s Day yesterday was up 29% on average for a Monday, New Weekly up 18%, New Idea up 25% and TV Week up a whopping 61%. We have done this week what we always do – co-locating the weeklies in two and even three locations depending on the stock we have. The only difference compared to recent weeks is the OzLotto $10 million jackpot tonight (Tuesday) and this has driven some extra traffic. While I am thrilled with the sales kick, the volatility is frustrating. For some titles we will sell out by mid week and the supply chain will not have capacity to replenish our requirements. The scale out model used by magazine publishers and distributors leaves little room for volatility like we are seeing this week – both to recover and to provide capacity with initial delivery. There must be a solution otherwise newsagents will not be able to grow sales to their full potential. I should not sell out of a weekly magazine ever in my view. To sell out three days into the week, as is likely with one major title, is dreadful.

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magazines

Spelling Out the Media Shift

Mark Glaser has written an excellent piece about the shift of control in media. Consumers are in control now more than ever. This movement will grow as their news and entertainment desires are satisfied by independent sources rather than those from mass media outlets. Consider these three examples from Glaser:

Oldthink: Relying on mainstream media TV coverage to follow wars and conflicts.

Newthink: Reading bloggers or citizen journalists who are eyewitnesses to wars, or soldier bloggers who are participants and can share their own stories in words or video. Seeing photos from people with cameraphones at the scene.

Oldthink: Reading, listening or watching media on the schedules set by executives and programmers.

Newthink: Getting the information, news and entertainment we want, when we want it, on the device we want it, with or without commercials.

Oldthink: Turning on car radios to hear the music or radio shows we enjoy.

Newthink: Getting satellite radio or plugging in portable MP3 players to our car stereos so we can listen to hundreds of commercial-free stations on satellite or thousands of podcasts downloaded from the Internet.

I’d add my own:

Oldthink: It was smart to pay to get to the top of a search list or on the front page.
Newthink: Be where people will want you – they will ignore those who pay extra to be noticed.

Oldthink: People trust the masthead and all it carries.
Newthink: People trust people more – now that people have their own voice.

Oldthink: the price of a classified ad is based on the number of gatekeepers.
Newthink: the price of a classified ad is based the cost of providing the service.

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Media disruption

Supermarket kills newspaper sales

You have to wonder who made the decision to move the newspaper stand in the Safeway supermarket which resulted in a four fold increase in returns. I bet it’s back in its old spot within the week. It’s another reminder to publishers of the disciplines of newsagents compared to the arrogance of supermarkets.

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Newspapers

The 6am delivery promise which cannot be kept

News Ltd telemarketers have been calling country NSW with a special home delivery offer for the Daily Telegraph, promising a 6 am delivery. This is a challenge when the newsagent in at least one region does not get delivery from News before 8:30am. News has known about this for years yet allows the telemarketers to make the offer. The newsagent is left to field calls from disgruntled subscribers.

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Newspaper marketing

Burke’s Backyard needs to be on TV

Based on the sales data I am seeing, Burke’s Backyard either needs to get back on TV or reinvent itself. Money and Good Medicine also suffer from non airtime but Burke’s Backyard seems to suffer more. Hmmm, maybe package the three into a new show just to drive magazine sales.

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magazines

Magazine of the Year awards miss an opportunity

Given that newsagents sell more than half all magazines sold in Australia, it is disappointing that we do not actively participate in the annual MPA Magazine of the Year awards. Through the industry association (ANF) there has been a small involvement in the past but no more from what I can tell. I’d like to see a publisher of the year, issue of the year and cover of the year award judged by newsagents. It is this type of engagement with newsagents which would help publishers achieve greater sales through our channel. Newsagents care about product placement and sell out whereas supermarkets and convenience outlets care less.

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magazines