A blog on issues affecting Australia's newsagents, media and small business generally. More ...

Author: Mark Fletcher

Proof of lottery jackpot impact

I have trawled through sales data from my newsagency for the last year and can prove the value of Tuesday Oz Lotto jackpots to my business. Taking out Tuesdays in weeks of seasonal activity such as Christmas and Easter, the data shows that a jackpot of between $3 million and $8 million is worth at least 10% across all departments and a jackpot of $10 million to $15 million is worth in excess of 20% across all departments. This is for Tuesdays only. Tuesday is traditionally the quietest day in newsagencies. There are no new magazines released. It’s a day newsagents will take off if, indeed, they take a day off in the week.

I have a couple of points to make about this:

– Newsagents need to embrace the Oz Lotto and Powerball (Thursday) jackpots and leverage non lottery department sales from the increased lottery traffic. Some newsagents see this traffic as a chore. I reckon they are nuts. We jump on jackpots immediately. For example, this morning we have already made new syndicate product for the Powerball jackpot for next Thursday. The Syndicate promotional materials create a buzz and lead to the sale of other lottery product.

– Suppliers could do well to watch the jackpot opportunity and build an offer or some promotional activity around the traffic increase. For example, Powerball did not go off last night – this means that next Thursday there will be a jackpot. In my store I know that will deliver a around 10% sales kick on Thursday which some extra business on the days leading up. Thursday is a the day The Age has the green guide. Maybe there is an offer we could put with that or with TV Week which also sells well on a Thursday. I appreciate that responding to jackpots means micro management. However, the traffic boost shows that newsagents attract excellent bonus traffic on these days so why not leverage that?

Tattersalls is smart with their management of jackpots. They respond immediately with point of sale materials for use in store and on our LCD screen.

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World Cup promotion

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This photo may not look like much but in newsagency in-store marketing terms it’s innovative for Australia. We along with all other newsXpress stores have stuck these soccer balls on the floor to lead customers to our great range of World Cup magazines and other products. Kids (of all ages) love them and jump from ball to ball. Pretty basic retail stuff and it works! It’s a key reason anything to do with the World Cup is selling well in our store.

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Magazine offers subscription on iTunes

PaidContent reports that magazine publishers are offering magazine downloads via iTunes. Music magazine The Fader is the latest – offering their (US) summer edition free of charge. This puts The Fader where it’s constituency congregates – the iTunes store. I’m certain more publishers will follow them to iTunes. Other publishers are going direct with one of several third party offerings providing online subscriptions. Who needs the traditional magazine supply chain?

It is developments like this which demand that the Australian magazine distribution model is urgently reviewed. Newsagents are being supplied as if there has been no change in consumer habits in decades. For the top sellers this is fine. It is outside the top 200 where the supply model is sick. Magazine distributors must review their models and scale out based on newsagent sales data and not based on the fees they charge for moving stock. 65% of magazines supplied to newsagents are cash flow negative.

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Media disruption

Newspaper sales growth with the improved impluse stand

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We’ve been trialing an impulse stand with the folks at the Herald Sun for a few months. The project started with some ideas I pinched from a trip to the UK last year. This is the next version of the stand. Sexier. Customers can see the spring holding the papers at an even level regardless of how many in the stack. This unit is responsible for a well above average sales kick in our store. We have located the stand to grab impulse purchases from our lottery counter. The Herald Sun sales growth we are achieving with this unit is proof that there are valuable sales growth opportunities in the newsagency channel for innovative newspaper publishers.

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Newspaper marketing

Hot magazine covers

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Some magazines not knows for cut through covers are standing out at the moment. Money, The Monthly, Mortgage and BRW are demanding full cover display on the newsstand with covers like these.

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The newspaper becomes a TV channel

The Register has this report about The Times launching an Internet TV service later this week. My understanding is that Fairfax is not far off launching a similar local product. Given the retail network behind the Fairfax mastheads there is an excellent opportunity for them to launch not just on PCs but also in-store – if an appropriate arrangement can be brokered with newsagents.

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Media disruption

The next generation newsagency

I have had an opportunity to see the new newsXpress store at Castle Towers. This amazing new store represents the next generation of shopping centre newsagencies. It’s sexy, customer friendly, corporate and high tech all rolled into one. This shop takes the usual shopping centre newsagency from a family type ‘homey’ operation and turns it into something which competes with any of the majors. It’s a huge leap forward and kudos to Geoff Hilder and his family for their ballsy investment. Many newsagents will visit to learn and copy.

Disclosure: I am a shareholder in newsXpress (but not the Castle Towers store).

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Blogging from inside Fairfax about newspaper giveaways

I’ve commented here several times about the challenges with some newspaper publisher giveaways: consumer frustration at lack of stock; the rules and lack of compliance by some retailers. Last night I stumbled across this blog entry by astrovisionary, an employee at Fairfax, about complaints publishers receive about the giveaways.

I’ve wondered about the etiquette of outing someone blogging about their employer but then I figured, hey, they have published their opinions so go ahead.

I found the blog interesting because the writer makes it clear she works for Fairfax and talks frankly about her employer. I also found the content of this entry interesting because it presents another side of a topic which frustrates me.

Consider these comments:

signs that its a monday morning at fairfax #87046:

dozens and dozens of phone calls from whinging old people flood in complaining that they missed out on the Sun Herald bonus cd/dvd/poster/free pile of crap that they were meant to be giving away with the copy of the paper. the best part is, i’m not even meant to field these calls.

what i don’t understand is why our company only seems to print of a handful of these freebies, because it seems like so many newsagents etc never have any.

but what i understand even less is why so many people are so devastated at missing out on these crappy free things and so determined to get their hands on one. DON’T YOU PEOPLE HAVE ANYTHING BETTER TO DO WITH YOUR LIVES?!

happy monday, everyone!

I wonder if her boss knows she blogs? Here is a selection of the comments posted:

bizza on May 29th, 2006 01:29 am (UTC)
what i don’t understand is why our company only seems to print of a handful of these freebies

to save costs, silly! also, probably the newsagents steal them all.

astrovisionary on May 29th, 2006 01:34 am (UTC)
but it gives people the shits!

and by people i mean those who want these free things, and me – who has to field half the complaints relating to these free things.

i think the SH advertising manager has a secret stash of flags in his desk. i might go and steal one.

protag on May 29th, 2006 05:03 am (UTC)
Meesh, any chance you can get me copies of the free colour dinosaur liftouts from April–June 1999.
…each signed by David Kirk?

Publishers could certainly benefit from reviewing their giveaway strategy.

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Newspaper marketing

Magazine Week in Toronto

With the backing of Magazines Canada, The City of Toronto has proclaimed June 5-9 Magazine Week. Canadians will be encouraged to buy and read Canadian magazines through public awareness campaign at retail outlets across the country. To mark the occasion the association is also running a contest, offering five lucky winners a free one-year subscription to any member magazine.

Source: The International Federation of the periodical Press

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Online stationery sales update: newsagents missing the boat

Our eight month old online ink and toner business, Inkfast, did ten times the whole stationery revenue of our decades old shopping centre newsagency in May. This is better than we expected. We created Inkfast to experiment and the learnings have been significant. Online you’ll find better margin business – certainly in the ink and toner category. People are browsing for a smaller range than you get asked about in your shop. Online you connect with more corporate and government customers than you get walking through the doors of your newsagency. By specialising on ink, toner and a few related products we can build better product knowledge and better pricing whereas in the general stationery department in a newsagency the stock turn is lower, customer theft higher and, as a result, your price offering less competitive.

Eight months in my feeling is that newsagents need to urgently re-jig their stationery offering. Newsagents bemoan the competition from Big W, K-Mart, Officeworks and Australia Post. The bigger challenge is from the unseen – online businesses. I’d bet that Officeworks online is getting close to 50% of online stationery business. This is traffic which newsagents just don’t see – traffic which they are not competing to attract.

This is their challenge – to get online and fast and in a smart way.

Newsagents have no one but themselves to blame for missing the online opportunity.

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Newsagency challenges

Newsagents ‘permitted’ by Fairfax to increase delivery fees, sort of

It was announced yesterday that newsagents can increase delivery fees charged for home delivery of Fairfax newspapers. However, the announcement was more spin than news:

– While the fee increase takes effect in NSW next month, Victorian newsagents will have to wait a year.

– Fairfax rejected a claim by newsagents for permission to charge a fuel levy.

– Fairfax will not pay any increase to newsagents who pay outside their credit terms.

– Fairfax rejected a claim by newsagents for compensation of late newspapers.

– Fairfax rejected a claim by newsagents that very heavy newspapers being delivered in two parts are classed as two papers for fee purposes.

– Fairfax refused to increase handling fees paid to retain newsagents for assembling Fairfax newspapers despite labour costs increasing in some of these outlets by more than 25% over the last two years.

By my reckoning newsagents lost 85% of their log of claims.

It’s unfortunate that newsagents are shackled by newspaper publishers – they have no control over wages and operational costs nor do they control the cover price for newspapers or the delivery fee charged. In fact, publishers discount home delivery offers and expect newsagents to take a commission cut as a result of their promotional campaign. Who would go for a business model like that?

Australia is regarded by many publishers as having the best newspaper home delivery model in the world. This is, in part, due to the thankless efforts of newsagents delivering day in day out for ever shrinking fees. The increase announced by Fairfax yesterday still leaves newsagents worse off than they were 20 years ago.

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Newsagency challenges

Free classifieds at newspaper site

Steve Rubel at Micro Persuasion blogs about a free highly contextual classified ad service which has been started by topix.net, a joint venture between Gannett, Knight Ridder and Tribune. This is a tough move by three major publishers as it challenges what has been an important revenue stream for their businesses and, indeed, all newspapers.

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Media disruption

More on car magazine sales

Interesting feed back at the Australian Car Advice & News Blog on my earlier entry about the fall in car magazine sales. The blog is not your usual journal or diary. This is a well written blog covering news and opinion you’d expect to read in the motoring pages of a newspaper. It illustrates my point that consumers have access to sources online without cost compared to the often out of date car magazine on newsagent shelves.

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Restructuring newspaper distribution

I’m told that Fairfax representatives at the annual newsagent conference last week made it very clear that they want newsagents to restructure their businesses. Restructuring in this context means newsagents selling their home delivery and distribution businesses to others. The benefits for newspaper publishers are fewer accounts, fewer delivery points and specialised newspaper distribution businesses. In the current situation a newsagency is part retail, part home delivery and part distribution. Some at the conference have told me that Fairfax even said additional commission could be on the table for achieving restructuring.

My understanding is that News Ltd is supportive of such a restructuring but is publicly less demanding on newsagents than Fairfax.

The publishers must be getting frustrated since they have been pursuing restructuring for several years. Newsagents have been slow to get to the table.

I am in favour of restructuring, freeing retail specialists to focus on retail and distribution specialists to focus on distribution. Newsagents need to move on this or risk the publishers taking control.

The challenge with restructuring newsagent businesses is how the exit from one side of the business is managed. Newsagents have, for the most part, paid premium goodwill – anything from 3 to 5 times net earnings where ‘net earnings’ is a figure including net profit plus owner wages and a bunch of ad backs. In some restructuring scenarios I have seen play out recently the seller has no choice but to take a hit on their investment.

The Federal Government, ACCC, newspaper publishers and newsagent associations – all parties to the 1999 deregulation of newspaper distribution – could/should have foreseen the restructuring and resulting financial hit of today. If newsagents were farmers or miners the government would have put a compensation package in place to ease the burden of change. Because newsagents are not farmers or miners their families will take the hit.

It is not too late for the Federal Government or the ACCC to revisit their role in the hardship being felt by small business newsagents today. Nor is it too late for Fairfax or News Ltd to reconsider how they might assist those under pressure to restructure their businesses.

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Newsagency challenges

Motoring magazine sales falling

Further analysis of January – May sales data shows a fall of around 10% in sales recorded for motoring magazines. I’d note that for the same period we have seen new titles issued.

With three magazine distributors competing with each other and a model whereby they receive fees for distribution, this will happen while sales slowly decay. If distributors were only paid on the basis of retail sales (as happens with newsagents) we would see far fewer magazines in this country.

There is a case for the magazine distributors to collude with newsagents to control the number of new titles published and or imported. Newsagents are the losers from the current situation because they get no say in the titles they are sent and it’s their cash at risk every day.

The 10% fall in motoring for the small group of newsagencies I sampled suggests to me that this once powerhouse category is in long term decline. It makes sense when you consider the quality and timeliness of specialist websites in the motoring area now.

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Lottery superdraws can be better exploited

Newsagencies with a lottery agency will do stellar business today thanks to the $27 million superdraw. The smart operators leverage the 50% – 200% traffic boost into good sales of magazines, newspapers and greeting cards. We need better co-ordination between newsagents and their non-lottery suppliers to make better use of the superdraw opportunities. A special newspaper or magazine deal built around the super draw could have delivered a perfect win win. In my shop we hired a spruiker for four hours, created some specials of our own and were run off our feet.

A good example of a deal would have been an offer today for WHO. The new issue was out yesterday so it’s fresh on the shelves. Buy a ticket of a certain value and get WHO for, say, half off. Reintroduce people to the title on the back of super draw traffic. The same would work for newspapers.

The opportunities for leveraging this traffic are endless. The next opportunity is Tuesday next week. OzLotto is $10 million and that means Tuesday traffic will be up 25% in many stores.

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Newsagency challenges

Recharge the new pocket money

It’s surprising the number of parents trekking to newsagencies and other outlets to recharge their kids phones. One lady quipped to me today “at least this way I know where the pocket money is being spent”. We chatted about how the phone companies are making a killing from the text phenomenon when ‘back in our day’ people would wait until they were face to face to talk with each other. This recharge business did not exist ten years ago and now it’s sucking hundreds of millions from family budgets. On the one hand retailers are told to be responsible in promoting gambling to consumers yet there are no guidelines on our pushing of recharge on consumers. The two are similar in my view.

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Cyclone Larry impact at Innisfail newsagency

I’ve been talking with Gary Larsen of Larsen’s News and Bookshop in Innisfail, far north Queensland. Innisfail was devastated by Cyclone Larry. Gary uses my newsagency point of sale software. Comparing May 2006 with May 2005 one can see the impact of Cyclone Larry on this small business. On the surface you see amazing sales growth. 25% up overall. Magazines up 31%; stationery 13%; school text books 94%; drinks 41%. Categories which are down include cigarettes -7%; gifts -45%; cards -16%; newspapers – 4%. Gary and his family are long term Innisfail people. They have not price gouged as a result of Larry even though their operational costs and business challenges are up as a result. Just getting a stationery shipment in has been a significant challenge. The service they have been providing in Innisfail in the wake of Larry has been invaluable and more power to them for achieving growth in such challenging circumstances.

They get my vote for Newsagent of the Year.

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Newsagency challenges

Newsagents fight NSW clubs to retain lotteries

Newsagents in NSW are putting up a fight to stop clubs from being allowed to sell lottery products. My understanding is that the NSW newsagents association (NANA) has made robust representations to the NSW Minister for Small Business, David Campbell, and that he gave the delegation a fair hearing.

Newsagents rely on lottery traffic to support the sale of other products such as newspapers, magazines and greeting cards. Ten years and more ago lotteries played a lesser role since newspapers and magazines were sold in fewer outlets. Now, with deregulation, newsagents in NSW need the lotteries point of difference to maintain a point of difference.

This is a big issue for newsagents as losing anything more than 10% of lottery traffic would challenge the viability of some businesses.

One could argue that change is inevitable and if a move to clubs better serves consumers so be it. On the other hand, newsagents sell many items for low margin on the basis of the range. To lose such a key item as lotteries would affect the rest of the items they carry and publishers and consumers rely on newsagents offering low cost distribution services.

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Newsagency challenges

Buying and selling titles tumble

May sales data is full of red ink for buying and selling titles. Trading Post, Trade-A-Boat, Parts Peddler, and Businesses For Sale are some of the titles in this category. Looking at same store data I have seen unit sales for the category fall between 15% and 33% comparing May 2006 to May 2005.

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New evidence on Internet use in the US

The respected Pew Internet & American Life Project has issued a new report into broadband penetration in the US. Key findings:

– As of March 2006, 42% of all American adults had a high-speed internet connection at home.

– This growth in broadband adoption has been fueled in part by an increase in internet penetration in the past year, from 66% to 73%. Nearly half of these new internet users subscribe to high-speed services at home.

– The 40% increase in home broadband adoption from March 2005 to March 2006 is double the 20% rate of increase that occurred from March 2004 to March 2005.

– 35% of all internet users have posted content to the internet.

– A “broadband elite” of early adopters that had been the biggest creator of user content has been overtaken by the mainstream.

– User-generated content is driven by young home high-speed users – 51% of “under 30” home broadband users have posted content to the internet compared with36% of home high-speed users older than 30.

Hence the Kim Beasley call for a national Broadband strategy for Australia, the continued significant investment mainstream media companies in online businesses and the challenges for print media.

We need Pew type independent research here to understand the shift which is occurring.

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Media disruption

UK newspaper and magazine distribution set for a shake up

The UK Office of Fair Trading has announced the release of a new draft proposal for newspaper and magazine distribution arrangements in the UK. The draft opinion indicates that the OFT is not prepared to back down on plans to change newspaper and magazine distribution – this after indicating earlier this year that they would re-think their earlier announcement to shake-up arrangements.

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Newsagency challenges